Nick Wingfield has a great piece in today's WSJ: Yahoo Tie-Up Is Latest Sign Tide Turning for Microsoft's Ballmer (subscription required but can be found through a Google News search) about how Microsoft's fortunes may be looking up across the board--especially with yesterday's Yahoo!/Microsoft search/advertising partnership. The most interesting passage is this one:

For [Microsoft CEO Steve] Ballmer, the agreement provides some redemption in an area he has stressed is critical to Microsoft's future. In an interview, he says the Yahoo deal received "more of my personal attention over the last 18 months than anything else we're involved with," including focusing on its most important new product in years, Windows 7. "It's a big deal," he says.

1. How to structure the a Microsoft/Yahoo! deal so that it would be approved by regulators (defensive);


2. How to block a Google/Yahoo! deal (offensive);


3. Nursing the deal through the regulatory approval process over the coming months; and


4. The possibility that all of these costs could be wasted, to varying degrees, if antitrust regulators decide to block or restrict the deal.

Eric Goldman, one of the few active cyberlibertarians in legal academe, has a thoughtful post about the search partnership announced today. Eric notes blogger Danny Sullivan's observation about the decline in Yahoo's assets and his comment that:

Microsoft is getting a huge bargain courtesy of the US Department Of Justice. Without Google being able to compete for Yahoo's business, the billions that were floating around in 2008 become millions in 2009.

Yahoo was unbelievably crazy for passing on Microsoft's acquisition proposal from a year-and-a-half ago. It looked like a foolish mistake at the time, and hindsight has definitely not improved that assessment!

We've just published an op-ed over at Forbes.com about today's big Yahoo!-Microsoft deal.
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Searching For Success: Web 1.0 Titans Struggle to Reinvent Themselves
by Berin Szoka & Adam Thierer

Yahoo! and Microsoft on Wednesday announced a partnership in which Microsoft's Bing search engine technology will power search for both companies, but Yahoo! will manage advertising sales and content creation.

This should be cause for celebration as a good thing for consumers. By providing a strong competitor with a combined 28% market share, the deal should also be a source of relief at Google, which has come under increasing attack for its supposed market dominance. But if recent concerns about online search, advertising, competition and privacy are any guide, many will fail to appreciate why the deal is pro-consumer, or what it says about the rapid evolution of the Internet.

It's easy to forget that just a decade ago most of us still hadn't done our first Google search, Microsoft was still focused on the desktop and Yahoo! was still serving up the online equivalent of the Yellow Pages. AltaVista, AOL, CompuServe and Geocities still ruled the roost.

Today, as we enjoy the fruits of a true cyber-renaissance, cyberspace circa 1999 increasingly looks like the Digital Dark Ages: The old online walled gardens have crumbled, desktop applications have migrated to the cloud and search has redefined our experience of the Web.

Oh, and did we mention just about all of it is "free"? Sounds like exactly the sort of vigorous innovation, expanding consumer choice, falling prices and cut-throat competition that policymakers should want, right?

Alas, regulators seem stuck in the past. European officials in particular seem hell-bent on continuing the antitrust crusade of the '90s against Microsoft, myopically focused on fading paradigms (desktop operating systems and Web browsers). But instead of narrowly defining high-tech markets based on yesterday's technologies or market structures, policymakers should embrace the one constant of the Internet economy: dynamic, disruptive and irrepressible change.

The new Maine law I blogged about on Sunday is much worse than I thought based on my initial reading. If allowed to stand, it would constitute a sweeping age verification mandate introduced through the back door of "child protection."

The law, which goes into effect in September, would extend the approach of the Children's Online Privacy Protection Act (COPPA) of 1998 by requiring "verifiable parental consent" before the collection of kids "personal information" about kids, not just those under 13, but also adolescents age 13-17. Unlike other state-level proposals in New Jersey, Illinois, Georgia and North Carolina, Maine's "COPPA 2.0" law would also cover health information, but would only govern the collection and use of data for marketing purposes (while the FTC has interpreted COPPA to cover to essentially any capability for communicating personal information among users).

But the Maine law would go much further than these proposals or COPPA itself by banning transfer or use of such data in anything other than de-identified, aggregate form. Still I took some comfort in the fact that the Maine law, unlike COPPA or these other proposals, lacked the second of COPPA's two prongs: (i) collection from kids and (ii) collection on sites that are directed at kids. It's because of the second prong that COPPA applies not only when a site operator knows that it's collecting information from kids (or merely allowing them to share information with other users), but also when the operator's site is (like, say, Club Penguin) targeted to kids in terms of its subject matter, branding, interface, etc. Because I initially concluded that the Maine law would apply only to knowing collection, I supposed that it would be less likely to require age verification of all users, as other COPPA 2.0 proposals would--something that would be unlikely to survive a First Amendment challenge based on the harm to online anonymity.

But I was quite wrong. During the PFF Capitol Hill briefing Adam and I held on Monday, Jim Halpert, one of our panelists, noted that the bill imposed "strict liability."

A key point that Berin and I try to get across in our Forbes editorial today about the Yahoo!-Microsoft deal is that the high-tech marketplace evolves too rapidly for creaky Analog Era antitrust laws to keep up. We wanted to say more on that point in our piece, but we had a tight deadline (and a strict word limit!) Well, turns out that we really don't need to do so now because Farhad Manjoo of Slate has done a better job than we ever could have making that point in this essay today entitled, "The Case Against the Case Against Google":

But if the government was right on the facts [in the Microsoft case], it was wrong on the big picture. The theory behind the prosecution was that Microsoft's mobster tactics would raise the price of software and slow down innovation. But that didn't happen. In 2002, Microsoft settled the antitrust case with the Bush administration; it faced no substantial penalties for its years of bad behavior. At that point, it still looked unbeatable--it had the same OS monopoly, office-software monopoly, and Web-browser monopoly. And you know what happened? It got beat anyway. Many of Microsoft's assets turned out not to matter, because upstarts like Google and old foes like Apple found ways to innovate around them.

Two weeks ago, I mentioned here that John Stuart Mill's On Liberty celebrated its 150th anniversary this year. This year also marks the anniversary of another classic text: Adam Smith's The Theory of Moral Sentiments, which turns 250 this year. Although Smith will always be most closely associated with The Wealth of Nations, some Smith fans (like me) consider The Theory of Moral Sentiments to be his real masterpiece. First published in 1759, the book is a far more robust theory of life, ethics, human relations, and justice. Indeed, as Dan Klein and Russ Roberts of George Mason University note in this excellent podcast, The Wealth of Nations is best viewed as an installment in, or an extension of, a much larger project that Smith really brought together more holistically in Theory of Moral Sentiments. [Note: Klein and Roberts have an amazing 6-part podcast series celebrating the 250th anniversary of the book, all of which can be found here].

Rarely has any moral philosopher gotten to his point quicker -- namely in the very first line of the first page of the text -- than Smith did in Theory of Moral Sentiments. Smith wanted to show that man is both self-regarding and other-regarding, and that these seemingly contradictory notions were actually quite complementary. In other words, "self-interest" (properly understood) and empathy for others could be reconciled:

How selfish soever man may be supposed, there are evidently some principles in his nature, which interest him in the fortunes of others, and render their happiness necessary to him, though he derives nothing from it, except the pleasure of seeing it. Of this kind is pity or compassion, the emotion we feel for the misery of others, when we either see it, or are made to conceive it in a very lively manner. That we often derive sorrow from the sorrows of others, is a matter of fact too obvious to require any instances to prove it; for this sentiment, like all the other original passions of human nature, is by no means confined to the virtuous or the humane, though they perhaps may feel it with the most exquisite sensibility. The greatest ruffian, the most hardened violator of the laws of society, is not altogether without it. [Book I, Chap. 1]

The latest edition (Version 4.0) of my PFF special report on "Parental Controls and Online Child Protection: A Survey of Tools & Methods" is now up. For those not familiar with the report, it explores the market for parental control tools, rating schemes, education and media literacy efforts, and various other tools, methods, and initiatives aimed at promoting online child safety. After evaluating that state of this market, I conclude: "There has never been a time in our nation's history when parents have had more tools and methods at their disposal to help them decide what constitutes acceptable media content in their homes and in the lives of their children." Moreover, I believe that the parental controls and content management tools cataloged in the report represent a better, less restrictive alternative to government regulation.

Version 4.0 of the report is now over 250 pages long (up from 200 pages in Version 3.0) and it contains almost 70 exhibits (up from 50), 725 references (up from roughly 500), and numerous updates in all five sections of the book. Major updates have been made to the Internet, social networking, and mobile media sections, reflecting the growing importance of those sectors and issues. Other new sections or appendices have also been added to the report, including:

• a new section examining how many households really need parental control tools;


• a new appendix on the downsides of mandatory parental controls and restrictive default settings;


• a new section on the dangers of "deputizing the online middleman" solution as an approach to solving child safety concerns;


• a new appendix reviewing the findings of 5 past online safety task forces;


• ... and much more.

Maine has just enacted a law severely restricting marketing to kids: the Act To Prevent Predatory Marketing Practices against Minors, summarized by Covington & Burling. Adam and I released a major paper in June about such laws: COPPA 2.0: The New Battle over Privacy, Age Verification, Online Safety & Free Speech. Maine is following the lead of several other states that have tried to expand the Children's Online Privacy Protection Act (COPPA) of 1998 to cover nost just kids under 13 but adolescents as well and potentially all social networking sites. We discussed at length the problems such laws create, particularly the possibility that large numbers of adults would, for the first time, be subject to age verification mandates before accessing (or participating in) the growing range of sites with social networking capabilities. This, in turn, would significantly "chill" free speech online by undermining anonymity.

Like COPPA 2.0 proposals in New Jersey (simply extending COPPA to cover adolescents) and Illinois (applying COPPA to most social networking sites), the Maine law tries to build on COPPA's "verifiable parental consent" requirement for the 13-17 audience as well as those under 13.

On the one hand, the Maine law goes much further than these other COPPA 2.0 proposals. While the original bill was limited to the Internet and wireless communications, the final bill's scope applies to all communications. The bill also covers "health-related" information (HRI) as well as "personal information" (PI). On the other hand, the Maine law is thus somewhat narrower than other COPPA 2.0 proposals and COPPA itself in that it applies only to "marketing or advertising products, goods or services." While COPPA is commonly misunderstood to cover only marketing, it actually covers essentially any "collection" (broadly defined) of personal information from kids for any purpose--including merely giving kids access to communications functionality that might let them share personal information with other users (even if the site itself is not "collecting" that information in the commonly understood sense).

The Senate Commerce Committee held a hearing yesterday where a number of Senators as well as Julius Genachowski, the new Chairman of the Federal Communications Commission, did a lot of fretting about the state of the modern children's television programming marketplace. According to the Wall Street Journal, Senate Commerce Committee Chairman Jay Rockefeller (D-WV):

suggested that a "little red button" be required on TVs so that a child could push the button to find out how a show is rated. Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor of Arkansas agreed that a red button might help since parents often have difficulties figuring out which shows are appropriate for their children to watch.

What is more troubling about all the hand-wringing taking place at the hearing, as well as the talk of reopening the Children's Television Act of 1990 to potentially impose more content mandates on video programmers and distributors, is that: (1) there doesn't seem to be much appreciation for just how much wonderful children's programming is out there today compared to the past, and (2) there doesn't seem to be much recognition of the serious First Amendment issues at stake when government gets involved in the messy business of regulating video programming.

Great piece in Wired by Fred Vogelstein asking "Why Is Obama's Top Antitrust Cop Gunning for Google?" It paints a pretty good picture of the coming antitrust ordeal that Google is likely to be subjected to by the Obama Administration. And, as usual, I couldn't agree more with the skepticism that Eric Goldman of Santa Clara University Law School articulates when he notes: "The problem for antitrust in high tech is that the environment changes so rapidly. Someone who looks strong today won't necessarily be strong tomorrow." More importantly, as Vogelstein's article notes, we've been down this path before with less than stellar results when you look at the IBM investigation in the 70s and the Microsoft case from the 90s (a fiasco that is still going on today):

After the government initiated its case against IBM, the company spent two decades scrupulously avoiding even the appearance of impropriety. By the time the suit was dropped in the early 1980s, company lawyers were weighing in on practically every meeting and scrutinizing every innovation, guarding against anything that could be seen as anticompetitive behavior. A decade later, innovation at Big Blue had all but ceased, and it had no choice but to shrink its mainframe business. (It has since reinvented itself as a services company.)

Microsoft took the opposite approach. Gates and company were defiant, to the point of stonewalling regulators and refusing to take the charges seriously. "Once we accept even self-imposed regulation, the culture of the company will change in bad ways," one former Microsoft executive told Wired at the time. "It would crush our competitive spirit." Gates put it even more directly: "The minute we start worrying too much about antitrust, we become IBM." Microsoft's hostility to the very idea of regulation resulted in several avoidable missteps--including remarkably antagonistic deposition testimony from Gates--that ultimately helped the DOJ rally support for its ongoing antitrust suit against the company. Although Microsoft ultimately settled, the public beating appears to have taken a toll on the company, which has been unable to maintain its reputation for innovation and industry leadership.